SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brondby win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brondby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Brondby |
32.04% ( -0.19) | 24.52% ( -0.04) | 43.44% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( 0.12) | 44.45% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( 0.12) | 66.82% ( -0.12) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.06) | 26.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -0.08) | 61.8% ( 0.08) |
| Brondby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.15) | 20.57% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% ( 0.24) | 53.1% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Brondby |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.44% |
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