SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
38.93% ( -0.35) | 25.61% ( 0.2) | 35.45% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( -0.87) | 48.53% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( -0.8) | 70.65% ( 0.79) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.58) | 24.53% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -0.81) | 59% ( 0.81) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.33) | 26.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( -0.44) | 61.65% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.45% |
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