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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
31.37% ( -1.55) | 24.52% ( -0.25) | 44.11% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( 0.57) | 44.71% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.55) | 67.08% ( -0.55) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.69) | 27.13% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.91) | 62.52% ( 0.9) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 1.05) | 20.38% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( 1.64) | 52.8% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.11% |
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