Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 82%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
-0.76) 
2.01) 
