Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
