SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
30.97% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.13) | 43.63% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.55) | 48.75% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% ( -0.5) | 70.86% ( 0.5) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( -0.26) | 29.4% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( -0.32) | 65.39% ( 0.33) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.3) | 22.3% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.45) | 55.76% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.63% |
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