SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
37.78% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.32) | 36.78% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -1.48) | 47.65% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( -1.39) | 69.84% ( 1.39) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.78) | 24.75% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -1.11) | 59.31% ( 1.11) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.75) | 25.3% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( -1.04) | 60.07% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.78% |
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