SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
35.55% ( -0.03) | 27.06% ( -0.04) | 37.39% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.18) | 54.63% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( 0.14) | 75.96% ( -0.15) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.07) | 29.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( 0.08) | 65.33% ( -0.08) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.13) | 28.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 0.16) | 63.95% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.39% |
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