SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.78%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 3.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 4-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Nassaji Mazandaran |
88.78% ( 0.31) | 7.99% ( -0.2) | 3.23% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.02% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.49% ( 0.31) | 25.51% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.41% ( 0.4) | 45.58% ( -0.4) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.43% ( 0.1) | 3.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.53% ( 0.32) | 15.46% ( -0.32) |
| Nassaji Mazandaran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.54% ( -0.37) | 57.46% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.7% ( -0.21) | 89.3% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Nassaji Mazandaran |
| 3-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.84% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 88.77% | 1-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.4% Total : 7.99% | 0-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.04% Total : 3.23% |
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