Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mumbai City had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Mumbai City win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
Result | ||
Mumbai City | Draw | Al-Hilal |
19.33% ( 0.91) | 22.41% ( 0.26) | 58.26% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.84% ( 0.25) | 46.16% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% ( 0.23) | 68.45% ( -0.24) |
Mumbai City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.13% ( 1.15) | 37.86% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% ( 1.11) | 74.64% ( -1.11) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0.3) | 15.54% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( -0.56) | 44.47% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Mumbai City | Draw | Al-Hilal |
1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.33% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.25% |
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