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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Mumbai City had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Mumbai City win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Mumbai City |
68.53% ( 2.83) | 17.3% ( -1.06) | 14.17% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.12% ( 1.37) | 31.88% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.57% ( 1.59) | 53.42% ( -1.59) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.51% ( 1) | 8.48% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.59% ( 2.41) | 29.41% ( -2.41) |
| Mumbai City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( -1.31) | 35.21% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% ( -1.4) | 71.97% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Mumbai City |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.47)1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.49)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.33)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.15)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.49% Total : 68.53% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.42) 0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.29% Total : 14.17% |
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