SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 59.79%. A win for Abha had a probability of 20.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-2 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Raed would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Abha |
59.79% ( -0.08) | 20.07% ( -0) | 20.14% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.14) | 34.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.99% ( 0.16) | 56.01% ( -0.16) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( 0.02) | 11.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.28% ( 0.05) | 35.72% ( -0.05) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( 0.16) | 30.04% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( 0.19) | 66.16% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Abha |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 20.14% |
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