SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Abha |
78.33% ( -0.51) | 14.06% ( 0.26) | 7.61% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.31) | 36.04% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( -0.34) | 58.15% ( 0.34) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.6% ( -0.17) | 7.4% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.32% ( -0.46) | 26.67% ( 0.45) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.93% ( 0.42) | 50.07% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.29% ( 0.29) | 84.71% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Abha |
| 2-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.73% Total : 78.33% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 14.06% | 0-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 7.61% |
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