SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Abha had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Abha win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al-Ahli |
29.38% ( 0.16) | 24.43% ( 0.04) | 46.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( -0.09) | 45.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( -0.09) | 67.63% ( 0.09) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.07) | 28.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.08) | 64.59% ( -0.08) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.12) | 19.72% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.2) | 51.74% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
