SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Abha had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Abha |
60.75% ( -0.38) | 20.73% ( 0.17) | 18.52% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.42) | 39.87% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.77% ( -0.44) | 62.23% ( 0.44) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.24) | 12.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.08% ( -0.5) | 38.92% ( 0.5) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.02) | 35.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -0.02) | 71.8% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Abha |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 60.75% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.52% |
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