SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Always Ready | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
51% ( 0.11) | 25.89% ( -0.04) | 23.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( 0.08) | 55.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( 0.06) | 76.84% ( -0.06) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.08) | 21.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( 0.12) | 55.15% ( -0.13) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( -0.03) | 39.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( -0.03) | 76.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Always Ready | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.11% |
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