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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Mansiche
DY

Cesar Vallejo
0 - 1
Defensa


Olaya (78'), Barreto (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zapata (59')
Calderon (54'), Herrera (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-0 Huancayo
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, March 29 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Cesar VallejoDrawDefensa y Justicia
41.02% (0.137 0.14) 27.34% (-0.257 -0.26) 31.64% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.799 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.65% (0.993 0.99)56.34% (-0.99299999999999 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63% (0.798 0.8)77.37% (-0.797 -0.8)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.53999999999999 0.54)27% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.703 0.7)62.36% (-0.704 -0.7)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.601 0.6)32.8% (-0.602 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.665 0.66)69.36% (-0.666 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Cesar Vallejo 41.01%
    Defensa y Justicia 31.64%
    Draw 27.33%
Cesar VallejoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.86% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-0 Huancayo
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Magallanes
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Botafogo
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Magallanes 2-2 Cesar Vallejo
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, March 29 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Defensa
Saturday, March 16 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Union
Sunday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Defensa
Friday, March 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-4 Lanus
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, February 26 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division


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