SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41% ( 0.02) | 28.57% ( 0.02) | 30.43% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.08) | 61.06% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% ( -0.06) | 81.04% ( 0.06) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.03) | 29.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -0.04) | 65.23% ( 0.04) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.07) | 36.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( -0.07) | 72.96% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.54% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.43% |
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