Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu
We said: Ankaragucu 1-1 Kayserispor
While Ankaragucu are winless in seven home matches, Kayserispor have failed to win any of their last eight away games in the Turkish Super Lig.
As a result of their respective struggles, we think that the two sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kayserispor |
46.32% ( 0.05) | 24.91% ( 0) | 28.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.04) |
| 52.29% ( -0.04) | 47.71% ( 0.04) |
| 30.1% ( -0.04) | 69.9% ( 0.04) |
| 79.35% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.78% ( 0.01) | 53.22% ( -0.01) |
| 69.59% ( -0.06) | 30.41% ( 0.06) |
