SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Kayserispor |
65.74% ( 0.17) | 19.4% ( -0.08) | 14.86% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( 0.14) | 40.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( 0.15) | 62.95% ( -0.15) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( 0.09) | 11.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.56% ( 0.19) | 36.44% ( -0.19) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( -0.04) | 39.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( -0.04) | 76.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.73% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.4% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 14.86% |
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