SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kayserispor |
46.32% ( 0.05) | 24.91% ( 0) | 28.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.04) | 47.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.04) | 69.9% ( 0.04) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% ( 0.01) | 53.22% ( -0.01) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( -0.06) | 30.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( -0.07) | 66.61% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.77% |
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