SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.75% ( -0.02) | 24.61% ( 0.01) | 38.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -0.05) | 43.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( -0.05) | 66.24% ( 0.05) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -0.04) | 23.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( -0.05) | 57.65% ( 0.05) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0.03) | 56.21% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.64% |
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