SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albion Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Annan Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
51.16% ( 0.16) | 24.22% ( -0.05) | 24.62% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.12) | 47.81% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.11) | 70% ( -0.11) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( 0.11) | 18.69% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( 0.18) | 50.04% ( -0.18) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.02) | 33.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0.03) | 70.39% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.62% |
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