SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
41.64% ( 0.42) | 25.36% ( 0.03) | 33% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.22) | 47.89% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.2) | 70.07% ( 0.21) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.11) | 22.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.16) | 56.62% ( -0.16) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.38) | 27.65% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.5) | 63.2% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 33% |
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