SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
27.78% ( -0) | 25.77% ( 0.02) | 46.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( -0.08) | 51.86% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( -0.07) | 73.61% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( -0.04) | 33.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( -0.05) | 69.93% ( 0.05) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0.04) | 22.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( -0.06) | 55.77% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.44% |
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