SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 27.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 1-0 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | BATE Borisov |
27.86% ( 0.02) | 27.93% ( 0) | 44.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.01) | 59.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( 0.01) | 80.11% ( -0.01) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% ( 0.02) | 37.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( 0.02) | 74.33% ( -0.02) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0) | 26.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.01) | 62.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.2% |
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