SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 14 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 13 | 7 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 14 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 14 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 14 | -14 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
66.59% ( -0.18) | 21.01% ( 0.03) | 12.4% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.53% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( 0.17) | 52.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( 0.15) | 74.31% ( -0.15) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( 0) | 15.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( 0) | 43.47% ( 0) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.86% ( 0.35) | 51.14% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.57% ( 0.24) | 85.43% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 66.58% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.4% |
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