SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
42.19% ( -0.09) | 24.81% ( 0.02) | 33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.06) | 45.46% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.06) | 67.79% ( 0.06) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.06) | 21.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.1) | 54.65% ( 0.1) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( 0.01) | 61.65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 33% |
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