Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
Result | ||
Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Sturm Graz |
31.98% ( -1.07) | 25.65% ( 0.08) | 42.37% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% ( -0.68) | 49.45% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( -0.61) | 71.49% ( 0.61) |
Austria Klagenfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% ( -1.02) | 29.07% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.01% ( -1.28) | 64.99% ( 1.28) |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( 0.18) | 23.2% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( 0.27) | 57.09% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Sturm Graz |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.37% |
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