SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
38.92% ( 0.76) | 25.4% ( -0.07) | 35.68% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.28) | 47.59% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( 0.26) | 69.79% ( -0.26) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.53) | 24.12% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.75) | 58.42% ( -0.74) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.26) | 25.9% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( -0.35) | 60.89% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.92% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.68% |
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