SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
18.36% ( 0.07) | 22.31% ( 0.02) | 59.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( 0.01) | 47.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( 0.01) | 69.38% ( -0.01) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.09) | 39.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.8% ( 0.09) | 76.21% ( -0.09) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.03) | 15.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( -0.05) | 44.43% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.33% |
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