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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Rheindorf Altach

Jatta (3')
Lavalee (35'), Prass (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bahre (40'), Lukacevic (54'), Koller (55'), Fadinger (77'), Ingolitsch (89'), Stojanovic (90+5'), Reiner (90+4')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Rheindorf Altach.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: BW Linz 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 3-0 Austria Lustenau
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rheindorf Altach had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Rheindorf Altach win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRheindorf Altach
62.11% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 21.43% (0.023 0.02) 16.46% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)68.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)14.41% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)42.32% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Rheindorf Altach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.080000000000005 0.08)41.42% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (0.07 0.07)77.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 62.11%
    Rheindorf Altach 16.46%
    Draw 21.43%
Sturm GrazDrawRheindorf Altach
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.11%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: BW Linz 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: LASK 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 3-0 Austria Lustenau
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Swarovski 5-1 Rheindorf Altach
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 0-2 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 3-0 Rheindorf Altach
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 0-0 Wolfsberger
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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