Bahia have had a strong campaign thus far and are favourites going into this clash, despite their recent defeat - their perfect home record is a testament to their ruthlessness on home soil, and this will likely be too much to handle for Juventude, who have struggled on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
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