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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Juventude

Manuel Lopez (50'), Willian (76'), Mayke (84')
Piquerez (87'), Jadson (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erick (64')
Gabriel (45+2'), Manuel Lopez (57'), Marcos (87'), Marcos (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Vasco
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 3-0 Juventude

Palmeiras are in scintillating form at the moment and will definitely take some stopping here. We fancy the home side to run out comfortable winners come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawJuventude
67.96% (0.11200000000001 0.11) 19.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 12.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)43.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04% (0.096000000000004 0.1)65.96% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.056999999999988 0.06)11.8% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.98% (0.125 0.13)37.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)44.58% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-0.026 -0.03)80.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 67.95%
    Juventude 12.94%
    Draw 19.1%
PalmeirasDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.57% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 67.95%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 12.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 18 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Vasco
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 San Lorenzo
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Vasco
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Vitoria
Tuesday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-0 Atletico GO
Wednesday, June 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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