Despite digging deep to get results in previous matches, Fortaleza could fall short this time as they are coming up against a side that have been perfect on home soil and they are visiting a ground that has always haunted them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahia.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
62.51% ( 0.15)	21.79% ( -0.07)	15.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.38% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

0.16)

49.32% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

0.14)

71.37% (

-0.14)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

0.1)

15.21% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

0.19)

43.85% (

-0.19)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

-0)

44.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

-0)

80.22% (

Score Analysis

Bahia 62.5%

Fortaleza 15.7%

Draw 21.79%

Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 62.5%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.7%