MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 04:09:12
SM
Liverpool vs. Fulham: 10 hrs 50 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
B

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia

Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia

While Bahia have made a very promising start to the 2024 league season, their away record is much less impressive with only one win secured in six outings. Sao Paulo, while not at their absolute best this term, have earned the majority of their points here at MorumBIS, losing only once in their last five home games. This looks a very even contest on paper and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBahia
58.19% (-0.144 -0.14) 23.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.58% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.148 0.15)50.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.131 0.13)72.48% (-0.134 -0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.243 0.24)41.26% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.214 0.21)77.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 58.19%
    Bahia 18.58%
    Draw 23.22%
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .