Barbastro were excellent against Almeria in the last round of the competition, but this will be a step-up in class, and we are finding it so difficult to predict a shock here. Barcelona head coach Xavi will ring the changes from his usual side, but the Catalan outfit should still have far too much for their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 79.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 5.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.88%) and 0-3 (13.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barbastro	Draw	Barcelona
5.51%	14.83%	79.67% ( 0)

Both teams to score 31.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.56% (

48.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

70.58%

Barbastro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.46%

64.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.2%	92.8% ( 0)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97%

10.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

33.09%

Score Analysis

Barbastro 5.51%

Barcelona 79.66%

Draw 14.83%

Barbastro	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 2.83% 2-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.51%	1-1 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.83%	0-2 @ 17.11% 0-1 @ 14.88% 0-3 @ 13.12% 0-4 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-5 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.3% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-6 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.88% Total : 79.66%