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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
BL

Las Palmas
1 - 2
Barcelona

El Haddadi (12')
Suarez (58'), Coco (79'), Munoz (88'), Cardona (89'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Sinkgraven (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (55'), Gundogan (90+3' pen.)
Xavi (20'), Roberto (20'), Yamal (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 America
Friday, December 22 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona

Barcelona will know that they will have to be somewhere near their best to beat a Las Palmas side that has lost just one home league game this season. With that said, we still believe that the Catalan giants have enough quality in their squad to claim a narrow win over the newly-promoted side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Las PalmasDrawBarcelona
22.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 23.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 53.57% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.225 -0.23)48.47% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.207 -0.21)70.61% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)35.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.74% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.143 -0.14)18.02% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-0.244 -0.24)48.9% (0.243 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 22.53%
    Barcelona 53.56%
    Draw 23.89%
Las PalmasDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.053 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.53%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tudelano 1-2 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-0 Getafe
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, November 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 America
Friday, December 22 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Almeria
Wednesday, December 20 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Antwerp 3-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 2-4 Girona
Sunday, December 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, December 3 at 8pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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