Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
-0.87) 
0.14) 
