SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
50.21% ( 0.19) | 23.34% ( -0.04) | 26.45% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.04) | 42.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.04) | 64.74% ( -0.04) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.08) | 16.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( 0.15) | 47.09% ( -0.15) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.1) | 29.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( -0.12) | 65.32% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.45% |
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