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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Sep 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
4 - 0
Dinamo Brest

Podstrelov (4', 76'), Gromyko (10', 64')
Nechaev (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bulychev (85')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Dinamo Brest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: BATE 1-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 2-1 Slutsk
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawDinamo Brest
54.62% (0.152 0.15) 24.09% (0.141 0.14) 21.29% (-0.29 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.896 -0.9)50.61% (0.89899999999999 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.797 -0.8)72.52% (0.8 0.8)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.277 -0.28)18.42% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.474 -0.47)49.59% (0.478 0.48)
Dinamo Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (-0.801 -0.8)38.37% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.773 -0.77)75.12% (0.777 0.78)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 54.61%
    Dinamo Brest 21.29%
    Draw 24.08%
BATE BorisovDrawDinamo Brest
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.61%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: BATE 1-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 4-1 BATE
Thursday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: BATE 2-2 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 5-1 BATE
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: BATE 3-5 Aris Limassol
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aris Limassol 6-2 BATE
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 2-1 Slutsk
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-1 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, August 20 at 1.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 0-1 Isloch
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 1-2 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Belshina 1-0 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 2-1 Smorgon
Sunday, July 2 at 6.30pm in Belarusian Premier League


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