SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | BATE Borisov |
17.36% ( 0.24) | 24.26% ( 0.03) | 58.38% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.23) | 56.11% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.18) | 77.18% ( -0.19) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( 0.45) | 46% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( 0.34) | 81.72% ( -0.34) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( -0.02) | 19.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( -0.03) | 50.69% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 14.54% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 12.04% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 58.38% |
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