SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 10 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Dinamo Brest | 10 | -11 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 9 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 10 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 6 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | BATE Borisov |
26.42% ( -0.32) | 26.75% ( 0.24) | 46.83% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% ( -1.07) | 56.42% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% ( -0.87) | 77.43% ( 0.88) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.86) | 36.87% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% ( -0.87) | 73.66% ( 0.88) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.42) | 24.09% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( -0.6) | 58.37% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.42% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.83% |
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