SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 53.5% | 24.23% | 22.27% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% | 50.12% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% | 72.09% ( 0) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% | 18.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
50% ( -0) | 50% ( 0) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0) | 37.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.09% ( 0) | 73.91% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.27% |
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