SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
34.7% ( 0.11) | 27.38% ( -0.01) | 37.92% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.06) | 55.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( 0.05) | 77.05% ( -0.05) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.1) | 30.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.12) | 66.76% ( -0.12) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0.02) | 28.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( -0.03) | 64.35% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.92% |
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