Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
Result | ||
BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
35.26% ( -0.09) | 28.33% ( 0.04) | 36.41% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.53% ( -0.15) | 59.47% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.17% ( -0.11) | 79.83% ( 0.11) |
BATE Borisov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( -0.14) | 31.95% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% ( -0.15) | 68.4% ( 0.15) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.04) | 31.22% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.05) | 67.56% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 36.41% |
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