SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 23.96% | 23.27% | 52.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% | 44.28% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% | 66.66% ( 0) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% | 32.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% | 68.88% ( 0) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( 0) | 16.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0) | 46.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.96% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.81% 0-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.77% |
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