SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Ashdod |
51.7% ( -0.25) | 24.93% ( 0.15) | 23.37% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.48) | 51.84% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.42) | 73.59% ( 0.42) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.29) | 20.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -0.47) | 52.26% ( 0.47) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.17) | 37.05% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.17) | 73.84% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Ashdod |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.37% |
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