SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
31.08% ( -1.55) | 23.96% ( 0.19) | 44.96% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -1.56) | 42.26% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( -1.58) | 64.67% ( 1.58) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( -1.69) | 26.11% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( -2.33) | 61.17% ( 2.34) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( -0.06) | 19.02% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.41% ( -0.1) | 50.59% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.55)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 44.96% |
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