SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
35.96% ( 0.38) | 23.68% ( 0.19) | 40.36% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.59% ( -0.88) | 39.41% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.93) | 61.75% ( 0.93) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.2) | 21.97% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( -0.31) | 55.27% ( 0.31) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.63) | 19.84% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( -1.02) | 51.93% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.36% |
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